Hillary's Numbers
With nothing else to do, Obama's been pounding Hillary in Pennsylvania for the past few weeks. It's taken a toll, and Hillary's huge lead has been cratering. Will she win? Probably, but it's not just a game of numbers (though it mostly is), but a game of expectations.
Right now, if she wins by more than 15%, it's a huge victory, and makes the unbeatable Barack look very beatable.
If she wins 10% to 15%, it's a solid victory and she's looking okay, but still in trouble.
5% to 10%--not good, but passable. She can continue, but it's not too hopeful.
0% to 5%--very weak showing. If she can hardly win on what amounts to home turf, why bother?
If she loses, she'll end the charade and drop out.
posted by LAGuy @ 2:16 AM
2 Comments:
Any victory she wins can only harm Obama not help her own chances. This personal quixotic quest is beyond any intelligible reason by now. If Obama loses, does she think she'll be thanked for this in 2012?
The coffee's burned and been thrown out so she can't even wake up and smell it.
I don't agree. As I've written before, her path to victory may be narrow, but it does exist.
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