Tie One On

Some people have been looking at the polls, with Rasmussen calling it even and Gallup giving Obama a 2 point lead, and saying it really is tied. This is nonsense. There's no reason to believe there's been any major change in the race until the state polls start moving toward McCain, which they definitely have not. (And I still say there are other factors helping Obama--excitement, third-party candidates and massive amounts of money. Even if all the polls actually were tied, you'd still have to give him the edge.)