Monday, July 02, 2012

Savaged

In a front page analysis in the Sunday edition of the Los Angeles Times, David Savage claims Chief Justice John Roberts's health care opinion helped restore the idea that the Supreme Court is nonpartisan.

That's what it did? I thought it just pissed off a lot of people.  The right, of course, is very unhappy. And plenty on the left (such as The New York Times) have attacked Robert's view of the Commerce Clause, calling him a dangerous radical.  Then there's the public, who's just unhappy this monstrosity of a law that they hate wasn't shown the door.  I find it hard to believe this opinion added any luster to the Court.

Further, with suspicions (and reports) that Roberts changed his vote, some are arguing that the scorecard looks like this: four conservatives vote based on political ideology, four liberals vote based on political ideology, and one Chief Justice making the most political vote of all, ignoring the law to protect his Court's reputation.

Nevertheless, David Savage explains why saving Obamacare was a smart move by Roberts:

[...] Democrats and liberal groups were prepared to launch a political campaign against what they would describe as the pro-business, right-wing Roberts court.

The healthcare ruling would be paired with Citizens United, the 2010 decision that led to a gusher of new political spending.

That's hilarious.  He believes the Democrats, just happy they don't have to deal with Obamacare any more, would have kept noting how they wish it were still around. (As for the "gusher" of new political spending, numbers please.)

PS In Savage's piece, Mike McConnell of Stanford Law School says "Had the court struck down the law, they would have been the focal point of the campaign. Now, the court comes out with its reputation enhanced."

Far be it from me to disagree with an old professor of mine, but does he not read polls?  The public wanted the Court to toss out the law.  After the classic Commerca Clause case of Gibbons v Ogden, the people were out on the streets celebrating.  We might have had something similar had Roberts struck down Obamacare.  It's pretty hard to make the Court the focal point of any political campaign, but if any side would try if Roberts had voted with the conservatives, it would have been the Republicans.

6 Comments:

Anonymous Anonymous said...

According to the latest Rasmussen poll, the American public thinks considerably less of the Supreme Court after this ruling. Thanks, Justice Roberts.

1:06 AM, July 02, 2012  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Other polls also show average citizens are unhappy about the decision, but that's not who Roberts or McConnell are concerned with. They're thinking about the Court's reputation among the legal elite, who will write the law review articles and editorials bemoaning the politicized court.

1:30 AM, July 02, 2012  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Who is this publicx you keep claiming to speak for. The folks who show are Reason cocktail parties?

This is an ultr-complicated issue (most people have no idea what it means and how it will affect them) and the public will be lead by the most vocal understandable PR campaign. So far we have screeching on one side which frankly gets tied in with a lot of nuttiness and the other cowering and abdicating. The public is best at sea although the fact that the law was upheld does shift the argument to the presumption that it will stay

4:33 AM, July 02, 2012  
Blogger LAGuy said...

Who's this public I'm talking about? The one that has shown up in every poll ever taken on the subject in the last few years. Will they change their minds once they start getting goodies? Probably, which is the best argument for getting rid of the law now. But all I'm talking about in the post is the laughable claims about how an opinion in the other direction would have played out politically.

10:06 AM, July 02, 2012  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Better than polls, this public showed up in 2010 and kicked out the Dems in the biggest beatdown American politics has ever seen. Yet in David Savage's world this has all been forgotten, because Savage is so offended by Citizens United, which allows voices other than him to talk. And in anon's even odder world, it's only happening because the Dems are too cowardly to fight for their side.

10:15 AM, July 02, 2012  
Anonymous Lawrence King said...

The whole thing is fascinating. In the past four days I have read at least a dozen different explanations for Roberts' vote.

For court-watchers, the biggest long term effect may be that nobody will ever again refer to Anthony Kennedy as the man who interprets the constitution for the entire nation. He was on the cover of Time Magazine last month. It all seems funny now.

9:45 PM, July 02, 2012  

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