Wednesday, January 02, 2013

Predictions For 2013

We just looked at last year's prediction, so now let's look ahead to 2013.  Readers and other Guys, feel free to add your own predictions.

Domestic Politics:

Chuck Hagel will not become Secretary of Defense.

Congress will pass no significant gun control legislation.

Congess will pass no significant immigration reform (though I'll decide what significant means).

There will be no new Supreme Court Justice chosen this year.

The Court will find against affirmative action proponents.

The Court will generally defer to Congress regarding FISA courts.

The Court will somehow punt on same-sex marriage.

The Court will nullify section 5 of the Voting Rights Act (and angry commentators will break the record for most mentions of Dred Scott).

International Politics:

Let me repeat two predictions made last year (though the longer they take, the weaker the predctions become):

Assad will fall.

Castro and Chavez won't both survive the year.

Angela Merkel will continue to hold Europe together.

Putin will remain, but his power will weaken. (How will we be able to tell that?)

Morsi will remain in power.

The Economy:

By the end of the year, unemployment will be below 7%.

The Dow will be over 13500 by the end of the year.


Alabama will handily defeat Notre Dame in the BCS National Championshp Game.

The Wolverines will defeat the Buckeyes (boldest prediction).

The Yankees will not make the World Series.

Popular Culture:

Community will be canceled.

Critics will give a big thumbs up to the final season of Breaking Bad.

Game Of Thrones will continue to gain fans and critical approval.

No major character will die on Mad Men.

The third season of Dowton Abbey will be considered superior to the second.

Trickier Oscars than usual.  With so many potential nominees--Lincoln, Zero Dark Thirty, Silver Linings Playbook, Les Miserables, Django Unchained, etc.--they'll split in odd ways and Argo will slide through as Best Picture.  Daniel Day-Lewis will win his third Best Actor Oscar.  Jennifer Lawrence will win the Best Actress Oscar (though I have yet to see Naomi Watts in The Impossible, and can't count her out).  In the toughest category by far, Alan Arkin will win his second Best Supporting Actor Oscar. Helen Hunt will defeat Sally Field and Anne Hathaway for Best Supporting Actress.  Regardless of who wins the acting awards, a majority of them will have already won an Oscar. Best Foreign Language film--Amour. Best editing--Argo.

Psy will not have another hit.


Anonymous Denver Guy said...

First last year:

Out of 14 predictions, 6 right - I won't quit my day job.

I really blew Int'l predictions - Spain didn't default, N. Korea went even more hard line, not less, and Mugabe is alive and running for office again in Zimbabwe at age 89.

My best correct guess - the S.Ct did find Obamacare's forced expansion of Medicare by the States unconstitutiuonal (I said the mandate was a 50/50 proposition). Also, scientists did announce discovery of the Boson Higgs Particle (in July 2012).

My worst guess - China to win most medals and most gold at the 2012 Olympics. Should have seen there would be a let down after 2008.

8:20 AM, January 02, 2013  
Anonymous Anonymous said...


One of the following die in 2013

Assad, B.
Pope Benedict (Joseph Ratzinger)
Queen Elizabeth

Bad weather, price fluctuations, scandals, accusations and condemnations.

Belichik fails to get SB #4.

Bill O'Brien stays at Penn State.

The Fiscal Cliff (which I predicted would end as a Mediocre Bargain on Nov 5) will not result in "-cliff" becoming a political suffix like "-gate"

Lincoln wins best bicture- Oscar voters romanticize statesmanship.

8:43 AM, January 02, 2013  
Blogger LAGuy said...

The Lincoln one makes sense. Why not name yourself, Anonymous, or anyone can claim to be you if you're right.

10:02 AM, January 02, 2013  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Sorry sometimes I think my words speak for me

NEG (Google sign-in issues)

10:26 AM, January 02, 2013  
Anonymous Denver Guy said...

Denver Guy Predictions:


One or more ratings agencies will downgrade the US credit rating again in connection with the fight over raisingthe nation's debt ceiling, which will go to the wire once again. And once again no one will care - interest rates will remain low.

Although unemployment may tick down, as LAGuy predicts, GNP growth will remain sluggish, hovering below 3%.

Chris Christie will easily win reelection in New Jersey (I need an easy one to pad my stats).

The S.Ct will find another element of Obamacare unconstitutional (probably the requirement that employers provide insurance that pays for abortificants).


I'll counter - Chavez and Castro will die in 2013.

Japan will reverse its plan to dismantle all nuclear power plants in the country, opting instead to close or strengthen ones close to fault lines or susceptible to tsunamis.


Peyton Manning and the Broncos will win the Superbowl, and by year end have qualified for the playoffs (have to be a homer sometimes).

The Rockies will not make the playoffs, but neither will the San Fran. Giants.

Tiger Woods will win the Masters in 2013 - he's back!


I'm shaken in my confidence that Les Mis will sweep the Oscars since it isn't even out selling Django Unchained or The Hobbit. So I'll go with Lincoln to win Best Picture, and just Anne Hathaway to win Best Supporting Actress.

To the consternation of critics, "Neighbors" will be renewed for another season.


China will land a rover on the moon - they said they will and by golly, I think they can.

America's Mars Rover Curiosity will stop communicating sometime in 2013.

4:36 PM, January 03, 2013  
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