Game Change?
Polls show movement toward Hillary in the primaries, even in North Carolina. I'd say she has next to no chance in that state, but if she did somehow manage to win, along with Indiana, she would suddenly look like a contender it'd be hard for the superdelegates to ignore.
posted by LAGuy @ 12:35 AM
4 Comments:
LIke it was hard to ignore Jery Brown's string of 6 victories in 1976, the late Kennedy surge in 1980, Gary Hart's victories in Ohio and Indiana in 84. Maybe because they were insurgents (Ted was going against a sitting president) and Hillary is still the establishment candidate--though the trickle of superdelegates, even since Pennsylvania, to Obama would seem to point otherwise
I'd say right now Obama is the establishment candidate.
If this were the general at anypoint Obama would be finsished. But it isn't. Since many Dems don't seem very bothered by Jerry wright, either because they just love Obama too much or they don't really disagree with his assessment of America very much, Obama will still do okay on Tuesday. I think. If this happens it will somewhat immunize him from this issue in the general. If he doesn't do well on Tuesday, then he is a goner before or after the convention.
Hill should not have let go of the debates issue. She really blew it by letting Bosnia keep Obama from self immolation.
AAGuy
I think the Dems realize they may never have another shot like this, so it's time to nominate the most leftist candidate ever. They believe in him, and even if he only lasts one term, he'll have changed America with his laws and judges as much as LBJ did.
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