Mariners' Matt And Mike
posted by LAGuy @ 12:18 AM
Pajama Guy
"You couldn’t have a starker contrast between the multiple layers of checks and balances [at ‘60 Minutes’] and a guy sitting in his living room in his pajamas writing.”
-Jonathan Klein, former CBS Executive
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2 Comments:
How To Make A 1,000,000-to-1 Prediction:
1. Make a lot of predictions; in fact, over the years, make a million predictions.
2. By the laws of probability, one of them will eventually be correct.
BTW, this worked for a lot of those Nostradamus types, too.
The monkeys writing Shakespeare hypothesis.
I wonder if you could figure the actual odds of this pick-
- he picked that the particular batter would hit a HR -OK the guy has minor league stats indicating HRs/per AB and the pitcher and the park and weather could all be measured.
-he picked the inning (what is the probability the batter would get an AB in the 5th inning- I suppose there is historical analysis for baseball indicating how often the #X hitter in the lineup comes to the plate in the 5th inning)
-he picked the count (what is the probability the count would even go to 3-1 and then the probability that he would hit the next pitch out)
-he picked the location of the ball (of all home runs, how many go in the 2d deck)(did he pick the part of the field too- my audio was bad).
If Math Spoiler was a Math major, maybe he/she could enlighten us
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