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Thursday, March 03, 2016
9 Comments:
Looks like his potential role as a running mate/adult advisor to Rubio is not going to pan out. He has to stick with "Least Crazy Option" and hope for a brokered convention.
But wait. What's that distant thunder I hear in the distance- literally dozens chanting "JEB! JEB! JEB!"- There is a whole class of operatives and hangers-on that are suddenly not drawing paycheck
At my tiny caucus, in Colorado's unofficial straw vote, Kasich got no votes (it was 2 Trump, 2 Cruz, 2 Carson and 3 Rubio). I like to think I gave Rubio the win :-)
The unofficial state wide counts are still going on, but so far the Boulder Count went:
Rubio: 33.4%
Cruz: 31%
Trump: 18.5%
Kasich: 10.1%
Carson: 6.9%
Weld County (sort of the opposite of Boulder County) has unofficially reported:
Cruz: 45%
Rubio: 20%
Trump: 19%
Carson: 12%
Kasich: 3%
Fiorina: 1% (slow readers vote)
I think we are virtually guaranteed a contested convention. Kasich and Carson are the only candidates who haven't trash talked the others, so I would expect one of them to be the VP pick. Of course, Trump made nice with Christie, so maybe he would agree to a Rubio or Cruz VP.
Or maybe some combo of Cruz, Rubio, Carson and Kasich will emerge, with Trump guaranteed a say on the platform and a cabinet position (or ambassador to Mexico).
I would like to point out that marijuana is legal in Denver.
I don't see how we're guaranteed a contested convention. In fact, unless the situation changes soon, the odds are against it.
It would be interesting since no one really knows how to deal with an open convention any more, and primary season is designed to avoid it.
I also think who will be Veep is wide open no matter who heads the ticket.
But once again let me thank Colorado for screwing up their caucuses. They could have made a difference early on but decided not to.
Yes, that's a win-win.
(And DG, isn't it a mathematical certainty you gave Rubio the win? Congratulations on the rare opportunity to know something with absolute confidence.)
How could Colorado screw anything up given the choices in front of them?
I guess they could have gone for None of the Above
I don't think I said Rubio is sure to win? I've just said I think he's the most likely to win the general if he is the nominee.
Math, man, math! Didn't you say Rubio won your piece by 3 votes to 2 for Cruz and Trump?
2 each for Trump and Cruz, and another 2 for Carson. But I'm not sure I was the first, second or third vote for Rubio, so one of us "gave him the win" ;-)
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