Polls Apart
Various polls, national and statewide, are showing distressingly disparate results in the Democrats' race--"above the proper average that statistics have laid down for our guidance," as Lady Bracknell would say.
Is the race close, or is it an Obama blow out? I guess we'll know next week. But considering how Obama has been overperforming in the last few primaries, Hillary must not be too happy.
posted by LAGuy @ 1:41 AM
1 Comments:
The polls have been almost completely meaningless this year. They've been right occasionally- about as often as a stopped clock. Whether this is due to the nature of the candidates or because information resources are available and being used so much at the last minute that voters are changing their minds constantly or because the methodology of the polls is bad or (my favorite), people like surprises and are now deliberately confounding pollsters, would be a good research project for eager PoliSci/media studies grad student next year.
It must really be depressing for Hillary where every state (except NH where the opposite happened) shows her with a commanding lead and then Obama shows up and it disappears.
Its really kind of odd now to see that the big states California and New York, after backing losers in the general elections are now backing losers in the primary contests- is this indicative of an even bigger disconnect between the cultural and power centers with the rest of the country?
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