Bad TIPP

The IBD/TIPP poll says Obama's ahead by 1.1%. This result is absurd. Not because it disagrees with all the other polls, but because of the internals.

Look at the 18-24 age bracket (which they admit fluctuates wildly because of small sample size)--McCain leads 74% to 22%! It's almost impossible to believe Obama is losing among the youngest voters, but the idea he's behind 3-1 cannot be taken seriously.

Then there's ideology. McCain wins easily among conservatives, but Obama wins solidly among moderates and crushes McCain among liberals. What kind of modeling do they have that could still make it so close?

It's hard to say which poll out there is accurate, but toss this one in the garbage.