Statistics
The most hated candidate usually wins. Since 1984, the candidate with the higher strong unfavorable rating has won. . . .There have only been two occasions where the more disliked person lost: In 1992 and 2000.
So, ignoring incumbents, we have 88 and 2008, versus 92 and 2000. Sounds sound to me! Put it all on black, ma!
posted by ColumbusGuy @ 5:47 AM
3 Comments:
The chart they use is pretty eloquent. It shows that dislikes have been going up lately in an age of polarization. More important, it shows winners (really all politicians) tend to have around 20% high dislikes, but Trump bursts through the ceiling with an unprecedented 50+%. We're in uncharted territory here, though I think it's pretty safe to say if over half the voters hate your guts, you're not going to win.
Chicks dig bad boys, Anonymous. See you here the first Wednesday after the first Tuesday after the first Monday in November.
Interesting theory. Trump's going to be President based on how unpopular he is.
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