No
posted by ColumbusGuy @ 3:00 AM
Pajama Guy
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6 Comments:
To be consequential-yes. A shelter for embarrassed GOP'ers (yes there are some)
The same answer for everyone not named Hillary Clinton, and yet everyone thinks she's in trouble.
I would say the only way they have a chance is if they win enough states to deny anyone 270 electoral votes, and then the House of Representatives might select Johnson over Clinton or Trump.
But what states would that be? NH perhaps Johnson got 1.2% of the vote there when people thought Romney had a chance. Johnson got about 1.4% of the vote in CO and WA in 2012. He got 2.1% of the Wyoming vote. Of course, in his home state he got a whopping 3.5% of the vote in 2012.
If the race is at all close come August, and if the popularity of both Clinton and Trump had dropped to 20% or less, a big donor might be able to light a fire and tell people to send DC a message - vote Libertarian and make the House decide. Not likely though.
The Libs are like Ralph Nader in 2000. Enough to mess up some close states. (DG why do you assume 2012 results will matter in 2016. Trump is not Romney and HRC is not O and people do float in and out of the electoral process and are not static vote numbers.
#2- who is everybody? You mean inside the echo chamber?
The best the GOP can hope for is it's like 2012. Look at the polls and Trump is losing in every state Romney lost in, and perhaps more. Why do you assume just because there are a few name changes that the voters change their party allegiance?
And where is anyone but Hillary winning? Nowhere except in the minds of people who hope the polls are wrong.
Who listens to polls? They can be wrong. Which is why I know for sure, come November, our next President will be Gary Johnson.
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