See Joe Run

As I write this we're still waiting for the dust to clear, but it's certain Biden had a huge night.  He won most of the state primaries including the big question mark Texas (not to mention Amy Klobuchar's state and Elizabeth Warren's state).

Not a complete shock.  Not now, anyway.  A complete shock a week ago when his candidacy seemed about over.  But the Democrats, at the precipice, decided someone had to stop Sanders.  So he won South Carolina huge (helped by the African-American vote), followed by Buttigieg and Klobuchar bowing out.

I think the results also mean it's likely there won't be a brokered convention.  Unless Biden and Sanders manage to seesaw back and forth, it's likely one will get far enough ahead to win a majority of delegates.

And that's even if their opponents stay in the race.  But why would they?  Isn't it clear at this point that Warren is over?  And Bloomberg mistakenly thought he could sit out the early races and buy his way in on Super Tuesday--a strategy that never works.  Perhaps he'll drop out, perhaps he won't, but who cares?  Did we care four years ago when John Kasich stuck around forever?

A lot of people who aren't as smart as they think believe money runs politics, but Bloomberg reportedly spent about half a billion (as anyone who's watched television in California the past few weeks can testify).  Yet he didn't finish higher than third in a single state.  Meanwhile, Biden won some states where he essentially spent no money.  Sure, Bloomberg will get some delegates (as will Warren, who finished third in her home state), but they won't amount to much.  He'll be looked at as an irritant, holding back Biden, which is not the image he was hoping for.

Other big losers--Iowa and New Hampshire.  Think of all the time the media wasted in those places--who cares about them now?

Even with Sanders taking California, it would seem that Biden is the front runner.  But there's still plenty to go.  The next two Tuesdays offer some major face-offs, and if it stays close, we'll actually be worrying about the big primaries on April 28th, or even June 2.  Wouldn't that be fun?

As far as candidates in the general election, both have flaws.  Bernie seems too radical, which is why there was such a reaction against him within his own party. (It didn't seem to be much about his policies.) Meanwhile, Biden, whose support is about electability, seems out of it--as gaffe-prone as ever, which is saying something.  But Trump has his weaknesses as well.  Perhaps either can beat him, maybe neither can.  But that's a question for another day.