Primary Problems
Regarding the Republican primaries, reader Larry King states "if this is a close race through February, then there will be a complete overhaul of the state primary calendar before 2012. Of course, such an overhaul has been talked about for many years -- but I predict it will really happen if the Republican race isn't essentially over after Super Tuesday."
The parties always talk about changing the system, especially when they lose the general election. (It's never the party, it's the system.) They certainly tweak it on a regular basis. To me a more interesting question is if the Democrats have a close race, will all those superdelegates (who make up about 20% of the voters at the convention) seem, well, undemocratic? They're Dem leaders placed there to make sure the party doesn't go off the rails, but if they actually get to decide who becomes the candidate, rather than "the people," I'd imagine there'd be outrage.
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Florida, Michigan, South Carolina, Wyoming, and New Hampshire have been stripped of one-half of their delegates by the RNC. South Carolina plans to sue. If the race remains close, there will be a lot of focus on these "lost delegates" -- because they might make a big difference.
So the push for reform won't be coming just from op-ed papers. They will be coming from state party chairmen -- and then, because elections swallow up all other issues, they will come from whatever candidate will benefit from allowing the additional delegates to be seated.
Of course, it's their fault -- these states deliberately accepted early primaries with fewer delegates because they thought that being an early state gave them more clout. If it turns out they were wrong, and it's just a delegate-counting game, then they ethically have no right to whine. But they will.
Republicans in California decided not to let independents vote. They can vote for Democrats, though. Many think this will help the Democrats in the general election. If it does, expect more tweaking.
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