Is The House In Play?

According to Gallup, the battle for Congress suddenly looks competitive. I don't see it. Sure, it's possible the Republicans won't get killed in the House, as everyone was expecting, but winning it back? I'd put that chance at well under one in ten.

(As for the Senate, if the Democrats gain less than five new seats they should be very disappointed. They have an excellent chance of picking up New Hampshire, Virginia, New Mexico, Colorado and Alaska. Plus there are about four or five other Republican seats that they can take, and essentially no Democrat seats up for grabs.)