Predictions For 2014
A new year and new predictions.
Domestic Politics:
Congress will not pass significant immigration reform.
There will be no federal government shutdowns.
Republicans will hold the House but will not take back the Senate. In fact, they won't have a net gain there of more than 3 seats.
The Supreme Court will declare campaign finance laws limit free speech and so will make them less restrictive.
The Supreme Court will uphold Michigan's law that prohibits schools from using race-conscious admissions.
No new Supreme Court Justice will be seated.
No significant name or names will rise in the Democratic party to challenge Hillary Clinton's run for President.
Mitch McConnell, the Republican Senator most in danger of losing his seat, will hold on.
International Politics:
Assad will solidify his power in Syria.
Edward Snowden will not return to the United States.
Iran will not announce they have a nuclear weapon.
There will be a major terrorist incident in Europe.
The Economy:
By year's end unemployment will be in the mid-6's.
The Dow will end the year over 17000.
Sports:
Florida State will beat Auburn in a closely-fought BCS bowl.
The Detroit Tigers will not make the playoffs.
The Michigan Wolverines will have a winning record.
The Seahawks will not win the Super Bowl.
Popular Culture:
This season will definitely be Community's farewell, and they will go out on top, comedically speaking.
After what many saw as a disappointing sixth season, there will be renewed interest as Mad Men approaches its end.
King Joffrey will not survive the fourth season of Game Of Thrones.
For the Oscars: No obvious favorite for Best Picture, but I'm picking American Hustle (though there's some evidence the backlash has already started) over Gravity and 12 Years A Slave. Best Director will be Alfonso Cuaron. Best Actress, lock of the night, Cate Blanchett. Best Actor is tricky. The Academy isn't usually sentimental, but I'm picking Bruce Dern over Chiwetel Ejiofor and Matthew McConaughey if for no other reason that he's easier to spell. Best Supporting Actor goes to the undeserving Jared Leto. No obvious leader for Best Supporting Actress, but I'm going with June Squibb since, once again, that's much easier to spell than Lupita Nyong'o.
posted by LAGuy @ 12:01 AM
4 Comments:
I'd say with Volgograd you've already got the major terrorist incident.
First, last year's performance for Denver Guy:
I predicted Castro & Chavez would die (50%)
I also said Japan would stop closing it's nuke plants. This was reported yesterday: "In Japan, utilities are working to restart idled nuclear power plants across the nation and regain public support post-Fukushima. The Nuclear Regulation Authority, a newly established regulator, set new safety standards in July of 2013 which call for greater preparedness in regards to severe accidents, earthquakes, and tsunamis."
100%
Sports, let's forget about sports (Broncos one and out, Tiger 5th place). Did predict San Fran wouldn't make the palyoffs, let alone the Rockies - 33%
Entertainment, Lincoln didn't win Best Pic, but Hathaway won best Sup. Actress - 50%
Science/Tech - China just made me a winner on Dec. 14th, landing their moon rover. But Mars Rover Curiosity made me a liar, and continues to operate on it now indefinite mission. 50%
Denver Guy 2014 Predictions:
LEGAL:
S.Ct. will uphold Michigan bar to racial preferences. (Schuette v Coalition case). Will be 6-3 or 7-2.
S.CT will strike down President Obama's "recess appointments" during a Senate bathroom break - 5-4 as it is a pretty politically charged decision.
POLITICS:
Obamacare will contnue to experience major problems as the "back-end" doesn't work any better than the front end did, and will remain below 50% popularity. Obama will hover around 40% approval all year (within 4 points up or down).
Wendy Davis will not become new Governor of Texas.
John Kasich will fend off primary challenge and then win reelection as Gov. in Ohio.
Scott Walker will win reelection (again) in Wisconsin, and so will Pat Quinn in Illinois.
INTERNATIONAL:
Mugabe will die in office in 2014 in Zimbabwe.
Venezuela's hyper-inflation will accelerate to near 80%.
NYC Mayor Deblasio will enjoy warm relations with the press and remain popular throughout the year (over 50% approval).
ENTERTAINMENT:
I'm not sure about much in the Oscars, but I'll go with Sandra Bullock - Best Actress for Gravity. And Cuaron as director too.
Downton Abbey 4th season will be considered a major disappointment.
SPORTS:
Gotta go with Broncos win the Superbowl.
Boy, you sure called that Florida State one.
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