Friday, May 09, 2008

Dems Demos

The Tuesday primaries showed a starkly polarized Democratic party. Obama got 90+ of the black vote, Hillary 60+ of the white vote.

Really the results were no different from what we saw in Pennsylvania. Obama seems to be a weaker candidate than he was a month ago. (Hillary is obviously weaker than she was a few months ago. She used to get widespread African-American support. Could it be Bill Clinton's remarks in South Carolina that so offended the black community were the turning point?) He has strong support from blacks, and solid support from elite whites and the youngest voters, but even after tremendously outspending his opponent, he still lost by large margins with whites in general.

No doubt, though, once he officially sews up the nomination, the Dems will rally 'round. Exit polls showed one in five Hillary voters would choose McCain over Obama, but that number should heal quickly. In fact, practically his only job from this point on is reaching out to those voters, and a few Independents and Republicans in the center.

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