Iowa Betting & Fever Dream
Clinton-Obama-Edwards within 2% of each other with order of finish different depending on the different ways those crazy Hawkeyes tabulate their results. MSM will present as good news for the guys & bad news for Hillary. (she launches a "comeback kid" strategy for NH?) Biden leads the next tier. Bill Richardson tries to appear vice-presidential. Dodd will continue until a withdrawal the day after NH. Mike Gravel will appear on Craig Ferguson. Dennis Kucinich locks up the UFO-witness vote despite some competition from the Ron Paul camp
Huckabee and Romney may win but will do worse than expectations. McCain will do much better than expected which will parlayed as a victory. Fred hangs around and will hope to get some support in February once voters get bored with the frontrunners. Rudy announces he wasn't even trying but beats Alan Keyes. Ron Paul gets his 5-10%. Duncan Hunter will not be mentioned.
November: Obama-Richardson v. McCain-Rice. George Will will announce the end of racism in America. (I had a fever last night and actually dreamed this- thats what you get for leaving CNN on all night)
Full disclosure- I tend to lose money when I bet.
posted by New England Guy @ 7:27 AM
8 Comments:
You're stretching it at the end -- say what U want, but this country is not ready for a black president. I'm not sure if we're ready for a female one either...
Well time will tell-A lot of people won't be ready but I'm not sure that will outweigh the others who have less of an issue. We haven't "been ready" for lots of things that have been forced by individual circumstances. I do think Obama and Hillary in 2008, unlike previous African American and female candidates (like Jesse Jackson, Geraldine Ferraro, Patricia Schroeder) are being judged more as serious individual candidates than as representatives of their biology.
Anyway, unless my subconscious is really good & worked it out during the REM phase, this part of the post was the result of an actual dream while sick and not a reasoned analysis.
We've been "ready" for a black President and a female President for at least a couple of decades now. I didn't notice any protest when they took over every other high office available. The Left has these fantasies about all the bigoted Bubbas in America when in fact it's the Left that has the narrow view.
Looks like you should stick to New England politics, New England Guy.
For some reason, "groundbreaking" minority milestones only count if they are Democrats.
Everyone can name Al Smith as the first Catholic nominee, Kennedy as the first Catholic president, Ferraro as the first female VP nominee, Lieberman as the first Jewish VP nominee, Jesse Jackson as the first serious black candidate, and Nancy Pelosi as the first female Speaker.
But who remembers that Goldwater was half-Jewish, that his running mate Will Miller was Catholic, that Jeane Kirkpatrick was the first woman placed in a position with real authority over foreign policy, and that in G.W. Bush's first term the two most powerful foreign policy people (Sec. of State and Nat'l Security Advisor) were both black?
More importantly, the three leading Democrats are diverse in color and gender, but agree on most of the issues. Giuliani, Ron Paul, Huckabee, McCain, Romney -- all white males but boy do they disagree on things!
Anon 2- Anon 1 thinks we're not ready. I think the proposed match up is very possible if not highly probable and I guess that implies "readiness" from all sides. Who was talking about Bubbas and how did you drag the dreaded "Left" into the discussion. Why are still married to the nomenclature from the French Revolution?
Anon 3- Maybe you should explain yourself, LA Guy wants more contribution from the guys so you're gonna get a lot more of this- see new posts- I don't think I was that off.
Lawrence- Again- who was talking about the Left vs. Right on this issue (maybe the anons). Some times my points are so subtle as to be non-existent but I was thinking that if Obama and Condo were on duelling tickets, George Will would be arguing on This Week that we don't need discrimination laws any more- which is more a comment on spin than anything else.
Yeah, my response was off-topic, and in reaction more to the anon commenters than to your original post!
Hey I was smart back then
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